Live Prediction Market Arbitrage
Cross-platform price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi, updated hourly by Musashi. Click any market to see spread mechanics, live prices, and how to trade the arbitrage.
Markets Tracked109
Max Spread7.0%
Avg Spread5.4%
Categories8
Markets by Spread (High to Low)
Will the Fed cut rates in June 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $145K liquidity
PM: 63¢KS: 70¢
7.0%
Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 in 2025?
cryptoBuy Kalshi · $320K liquidity
PM: 71¢KS: 65¢
6.0%
Will Trump issue new tariff executive orders in Q2 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $89K liquidity
PM: 58¢KS: 64¢
6.0%
Will the US enter a recession in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $267K liquidity
PM: 28¢KS: 34¢
6.0%
Will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Poly · $198K liquidity
PM: 44¢KS: 50¢
6.0%
Will Apple announce a major AI product at WWDC 2025?
techBuy Poly · $156K liquidity
PM: 72¢KS: 78¢
6.0%
Will US CPI fall below 3% by end of Q2 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $223K liquidity
PM: 61¢KS: 67¢
6.0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Championship?
sportsBuy Kalshi · $87K liquidity
PM: 31¢KS: 25¢
6.0%
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $312K liquidity
PM: 68¢KS: 74¢
6.0%
Will gold exceed $2,500/oz before June 2025?
financeBuy Kalshi · $167K liquidity
PM: 74¢KS: 68¢
6.0%
Will the Supreme Court issue a major abortion ruling in 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $145K liquidity
PM: 35¢KS: 41¢
6.0%
Will Tesla stock fall below $200 in Q2 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $134K liquidity
PM: 38¢KS: 44¢
6.0%
Will Microsoft make a major AI acquisition in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $112K liquidity
PM: 54¢KS: 60¢
6.0%
Will USD/JPY fall below 140 in Q2 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $143K liquidity
PM: 29¢KS: 35¢
6.0%
Will XRP exceed $1.00 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $67K liquidity
PM: 77¢KS: 83¢
6.0%
Will Google Gemini outperform GPT-4 on major benchmarks in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $201K liquidity
PM: 48¢KS: 54¢
6.0%
Will Amazon raise Prime subscription prices in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $78K liquidity
PM: 41¢KS: 47¢
6.0%
Will the Fed Funds Rate remain above 5% at end of 2025?
economicsBuy Kalshi · $298K liquidity
PM: 36¢KS: 30¢
6.0%
Will the US Congress pass an AI regulation bill in 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $187K liquidity
PM: 26¢KS: 32¢
6.0%
Will a spot Bitcoin ETF see $10B+ inflows in 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $432K liquidity
PM: 59¢KS: 65¢
6.0%
Will US Consumer Confidence Index rise above 110 in Q2 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $89K liquidity
PM: 43¢KS: 49¢
6.0%
Will SpaceX Starship reach orbit in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $156K liquidity
PM: 82¢KS: 88¢
6.0%
Will Anthropic release Claude 4 in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $198K liquidity
PM: 79¢KS: 85¢
6.0%
Will US median home prices rise in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $312K liquidity
PM: 65¢KS: 71¢
6.0%
Will Trump impose 20%+ tariffs on China in 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $345K liquidity
PM: 67¢KS: 73¢
6.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $567K liquidity
PM: 34¢KS: 40¢
6.0%
Will Chainlink (LINK) exceed $20 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $56K liquidity
PM: 58¢KS: 64¢
6.0%
Will AWS revenue exceed $30B in Q1 2025?
techBuy Poly · $134K liquidity
PM: 73¢KS: 79¢
6.0%
Will OPEC+ announce production cuts in Q2 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $167K liquidity
PM: 49¢KS: 55¢
6.0%
Will TikTok be effectively banned in the US in 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $312K liquidity
PM: 37¢KS: 43¢
6.0%
Will Meta AI assistant reach 1 billion users in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $145K liquidity
PM: 43¢KS: 49¢
6.0%
Will NEAR Protocol exceed $5 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $34K liquidity
PM: 55¢KS: 61¢
6.0%
Will the Pentagon release a major UFO disclosure in 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $145K liquidity
PM: 21¢KS: 27¢
6.0%
Will Labour win the next UK general election?
politicsBuy Poly · $189K liquidity
PM: 68¢KS: 74¢
6.0%
Will NVIDIA revenue exceed $30B in Q1 2025?
techBuy Poly · $267K liquidity
PM: 79¢KS: 85¢
6.0%
Will Bitcoin dominance exceed 55% in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $178K liquidity
PM: 61¢KS: 67¢
6.0%
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average exceed 42,000 in 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $234K liquidity
PM: 69¢KS: 75¢
6.0%
Will DeFi Total Value Locked exceed $100B in 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $134K liquidity
PM: 48¢KS: 54¢
6.0%
Will Israel and Iran engage in direct military conflict in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Poly · $389K liquidity
PM: 22¢KS: 28¢
6.0%
Will Democrats win back the Senate in 2026?
politicsBuy Poly · $312K liquidity
PM: 41¢KS: 47¢
6.0%
Will there be a major cyberattack on US critical infrastructure in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Poly · $234K liquidity
PM: 41¢KS: 47¢
6.0%
Will Trump pardon a major political figure in 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $278K liquidity
PM: 74¢KS: 80¢
6.0%
Will the US tighten AI chip export controls in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $176K liquidity
PM: 47¢KS: 53¢
6.0%
Will Argentina reach a new IMF deal in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $118K liquidity
PM: 57¢KS: 63¢
6.0%
Will Tesla stock exceed $300 in 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $241K liquidity
PM: 41¢KS: 47¢
6.0%
Will the US enter a recession in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $326K liquidity
PM: 38¢KS: 44¢
6.0%
Will Bitcoin exceed $120,000 in 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $411K liquidity
PM: 46¢KS: 52¢
6.0%
Will OpenAI file for an IPO in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $167K liquidity
PM: 12¢KS: 18¢
6.0%
Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500 by end of May 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $210K liquidity
PM: 47¢KS: 52¢
5.0%
Will Ethereum exceed $3,500 before June 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $178K liquidity
PM: 39¢KS: 44¢
5.0%
Will NVIDIA stock exceed $1,000 in Q2 2025?
techBuy Poly · $134K liquidity
PM: 55¢KS: 60¢
5.0%
Will Solana exceed $200 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $98K liquidity
PM: 42¢KS: 47¢
5.0%
Will US unemployment exceed 5% in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $189K liquidity
PM: 22¢KS: 27¢
5.0%
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 Premier League?
sportsBuy Kalshi · $76K liquidity
PM: 27¢KS: 22¢
5.0%
Will Brent crude exceed $90/barrel in Q2 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $187K liquidity
PM: 33¢KS: 38¢
5.0%
Will NATO admit a new member in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Kalshi · $89K liquidity
PM: 18¢KS: 13¢
5.0%
Will the Euro reach parity with USD in 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $156K liquidity
PM: 24¢KS: 29¢
5.0%
Will Dogecoin exceed $1.00 in 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $92K liquidity
PM: 31¢KS: 36¢
5.0%
Will the US and Iran reach a nuclear deal in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Poly · $234K liquidity
PM: 14¢KS: 19¢
5.0%
Will any VR/AR headset sell 10M+ units in 2025?
techBuy Kalshi · $67K liquidity
PM: 19¢KS: 14¢
5.0%
Will Germany win Euro 2024?
sportsBuy Kalshi · $112K liquidity
PM: 22¢KS: 17¢
5.0%
Will Cardano (ADA) exceed $1.00 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $54K liquidity
PM: 37¢KS: 42¢
5.0%
Will Republicans maintain House majority through 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $234K liquidity
PM: 76¢KS: 81¢
5.0%
Will the US Dollar Index (DXY) stay above 105 in Q2 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $143K liquidity
PM: 52¢KS: 57¢
5.0%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Championship?
sportsBuy Kalshi · $87K liquidity
PM: 56¢KS: 51¢
5.0%
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Kalshi · $267K liquidity
PM: 12¢KS: 7¢
5.0%
Will X (Twitter) become profitable in 2025?
techBuy Poly · $89K liquidity
PM: 23¢KS: 28¢
5.0%
Will Polkadot (DOT) exceed $10 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $43K liquidity
PM: 44¢KS: 49¢
5.0%
Will India's GDP grow above 7% in FY 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $134K liquidity
PM: 71¢KS: 76¢
5.0%
Will an AFC team win Super Bowl LIX?
sportsBuy Poly · $198K liquidity
PM: 54¢KS: 59¢
5.0%
Will Tesla achieve Level 4 autonomy approval in 2025?
techBuy Kalshi · $112K liquidity
PM: 18¢KS: 13¢
5.0%
Will there be a lasting ceasefire in Gaza in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Poly · $423K liquidity
PM: 48¢KS: 53¢
5.0%
Will the 10-Year Treasury yield exceed 5% in 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $289K liquidity
PM: 42¢KS: 47¢
5.0%
Will the US government force Google to break up in 2025?
politicsBuy Kalshi · $178K liquidity
PM: 11¢KS: 6¢
5.0%
Will the US pass new climate legislation in 2025?
politicsBuy Kalshi · $123K liquidity
PM: 16¢KS: 11¢
5.0%
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?
sportsBuy Poly · $78K liquidity
PM: 29¢KS: 34¢
5.0%
Will the Eurozone enter a recession in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $198K liquidity
PM: 31¢KS: 36¢
5.0%
Will Avalanche (AVAX) exceed $40 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $45K liquidity
PM: 45¢KS: 50¢
5.0%
Will the US Senate reform or eliminate the filibuster in 2025?
politicsBuy Kalshi · $89K liquidity
PM: 9¢KS: 4¢
5.0%
Will there be a major controversy at the 2026 World Cup draw?
sportsBuy Poly · $56K liquidity
PM: 27¢KS: 32¢
5.0%
Will Shiba Inu (SHIB) exceed $0.00002 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $38K liquidity
PM: 36¢KS: 41¢
5.0%
Will China's GDP growth fall below 5% in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $234K liquidity
PM: 34¢KS: 39¢
5.0%
Will a major US bank fail in 2025?
financeBuy Kalshi · $345K liquidity
PM: 13¢KS: 8¢
5.0%
Will the Swiss Franc appreciate above 0.95 vs EUR in 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $89K liquidity
PM: 52¢KS: 57¢
5.0%
Will the LA Lakers make the 2025 NBA playoffs?
sportsBuy Poly · $67K liquidity
PM: 62¢KS: 67¢
5.0%
Will Samsung overtake Apple in global smartphone market share in 2025?
techBuy Kalshi · $78K liquidity
PM: 44¢KS: 39¢
5.0%
Will the Fed raise rates in 2025?
economicsBuy Kalshi · $312K liquidity
PM: 19¢KS: 14¢
5.0%
Will copper futures exceed $5/lb in Q2 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $112K liquidity
PM: 47¢KS: 52¢
5.0%
Will Polygon (POL) exceed $1 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $43K liquidity
PM: 39¢KS: 44¢
5.0%
Will an AI-assisted film win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
entertainmentBuy Kalshi · $56K liquidity
PM: 11¢KS: 6¢
5.0%
Will Turkey's inflation fall below 50% in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $89K liquidity
PM: 53¢KS: 58¢
5.0%
Will Argentina fully dollarize its economy in 2025?
economicsBuy Kalshi · $98K liquidity
PM: 24¢KS: 19¢
5.0%
Will a European player win the 2025 Masters?
sportsBuy Poly · $67K liquidity
PM: 36¢KS: 41¢
5.0%
Will 1 million humanoid robots ship in 2025?
techBuy Kalshi · $145K liquidity
PM: 9¢KS: 4¢
5.0%
Will BNB exceed $700 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $67K liquidity
PM: 46¢KS: 51¢
5.0%
Will the UK enter a recession in 2025?
economicsBuy Poly · $167K liquidity
PM: 27¢KS: 32¢
5.0%
Will the VIX volatility index exceed 30 in Q2 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $198K liquidity
PM: 38¢KS: 43¢
5.0%
Will Tron (TRX) exceed $0.30 in Q2 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $38K liquidity
PM: 51¢KS: 56¢
5.0%
Will the US government shut down in 2025?
politicsBuy Poly · $256K liquidity
PM: 28¢KS: 33¢
5.0%
Will Ethereum exceed $5,000 in 2025?
cryptoBuy Poly · $214K liquidity
PM: 26¢KS: 31¢
5.0%
Will Brent crude exceed $100/barrel in 2025?
financeBuy Poly · $205K liquidity
PM: 24¢KS: 29¢
5.0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
sportsBuy Poly · $97K liquidity
PM: 49¢KS: 54¢
5.0%
Will China begin a blockade-style crisis around Taiwan in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Kalshi · $188K liquidity
PM: 14¢KS: 9¢
5.0%
Will an AI-assisted musical win a major Broadway award in 2025?
entertainmentBuy Poly · $62K liquidity
PM: 18¢KS: 23¢
5.0%
Will major US/EU sanctions on Russia be lifted in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Kalshi · $178K liquidity
PM: 7¢KS: 3¢
4.0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
politicsBuy Kalshi · $423K liquidity
PM: 8¢KS: 4¢
4.0%
Will China take military action against Taiwan in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Kalshi · $445K liquidity
PM: 8¢KS: 5¢
3.0%
Will NATO invoke Article 5 in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Kalshi · $289K liquidity
PM: 5¢KS: 2¢
3.0%
Will any nation declare World War III in 2025?
geopoliticsBuy Kalshi · $567K liquidity
PM: 2¢KS: 1¢
1.0%